EFL Play-Offs

AFC Wimbledon have a really strong record against their fellow top 10 sides in 2025. From nine games, they have won or drawn eight times, only losing at home to League Two runners-up Port Vale.

Notts County, on the other hand, have a poor record against top 10 sides in 2025, losing seven out of 10 fixtures. This is obviously less than ideal when heading into a play-off campaign, and shows that their patient style does not seem to wash against the division's better teams. Over the last 12 games, the form table has County in 17th position.

James Tilley is probably better known as a winger, but this season has most operated as a wing-back, whether from the left or right. He is a shoot-on-sight kind of player, with 32 of his 59 shots this season being taken from outside the box. It may be that kind of effort which can break the deadlock in this game.

Tilley has taken one or more shots in 26 out of 36 starts, which backs up the points made above. On the final day, Tilley operated from right wing back, allowing him to cut inside on his favoured left foot. This would be preferable for our bet, but not the be-all and end-all given his season-long stats and tendency to shoot from various positions.

Abbott has enjoyed a successful first season in senior football on loan from Spurs. The England youth international is into double figures for combined goals and assists, and even won the EFL’s goal of the season competition.

The energetic midfielder enjoys getting forward to support his attacking colleagues and has taken at least one shot in 30 of 37 appearances this season, including in both fixtures against AFC Wimbledon.  Like Tilley, the majority of Abbott’s shots are taken from outside the box, which we think there will be plenty of in a tight game like this.